STRICT-Score
Max. Potenzial
3.2x
Potenzieller Ertrag
Wahrscheinlichkeit
70%
Erfolgschance
Risikoniveau
7/10
Hohes Risiko
Marktkapitalisierung
$263.56M
Volumen
$233.45K
STRICT-Score Aufschlüsselung
Unser proprietäres Bewertungssystem evaluiert Projekte anhand von 6 Schlüsseldimensionen.
Analyseübersicht
Analyseübersicht
Gate Wrapped BTC (GTBTC) is an on-chain BTC yield-generating asset issued by Gate.io, backed by the exchange's BTC reserves at a 1:1 ratio. Trading at approximately $103,000-$115,000 as of December 2025 with a market cap of $230.24 million, GTBTC has only 2,000 tokens in circulation. The token offers 3% APY through BTC staking (2% base + 1% bonus for Web3 tasks) with daily payouts and flexible unstaking. Despite a 5.40% gain over 7 days and reaching an all-time high of $125,945 in October 2025, GTBTC faces significant centralization risks inherent to exchange-backed wrapped tokens.
Investitionsthese
GTBTC provides Bitcoin holders with yield generation opportunities while maintaining exposure to BTC price movements, addressing the traditional non-yielding nature of Bitcoin. The token enables seamless integration with Ethereum DeFi protocols, offering lending, liquidity mining, and trading capabilities. With proof-of-reserves transparency and audited smart contracts, Gate.io aims to provide trustworthy BTC wrapping. However, the investment case is severely constrained by centralized custody risks, dependence on Gate.io's solvency, limited liquidity with only 2,000 tokens circulating, and regulatory uncertainty. The 3% APY, while attractive, comes with a 3% service fee on earnings and exposes holders to custodian failure risk similar to 2021's BadgerDAO hack that lost 2,100 BTC.
Wettbewerbsposition
GTBTC competes in a crowded wrapped Bitcoin market dominated by Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) with $10+ billion market cap and significantly deeper liquidity. GTBTC's $230 million market cap and 2,000 token circulation places it far behind established competitors. The key differentiator is yield generation (3% APY) versus WBTC's non-yielding nature, but this comes at the cost of additional centralization through Gate.io custody. Compared to decentralized Bitcoin wrapping solutions like tBTC or renBTC, GTBTC sacrifices trustlessness for convenience and yield. The limited liquidity makes GTBTC primarily suitable for Gate.io ecosystem users rather than broad DeFi adoption.
Fazit
Gate Wrapped BTC offers Bitcoin holders yield generation and DeFi access but carries substantial centralization and custodian risks. The 3% APY is attractive for passive BTC income, but the dependency on Gate.io solvency, extremely limited liquidity, and lack of regulatory protection make GTBTC suitable only for sophisticated investors comfortable with exchange counterparty risk. For most investors seeking Bitcoin exposure with yield, established alternatives like WBTC (for liquidity) or decentralized solutions like tBTC (for trustlessness) present better risk-reward profiles.
Stärken
- 1:1 BTC backing with real-time proof-of-reserves transparency allowing users to verify actual reserves
- 3% annualized yield with daily distribution and flexible unstaking (minimum 0.001 BTC stake)
- Security-audited smart contracts for minting and redemption processes
- DeFi ecosystem compatibility enabling lending, liquidity provision, and trading on Ethereum
- Low entry barrier with accessible staking minimums compared to traditional Bitcoin holdings
Risiken
- Centralization risk: complete dependence on Gate.io as custodian creates single point of failure
- Custodian insolvency could render GTBTC worthless with no regulatory protection or insurance
- Extremely limited liquidity with only 2,000 tokens circulating and $598K daily volume
- Smart contract vulnerabilities and cross-chain bridge exploits common in wrapped token protocols
- Contagion risk where Gate.io financial issues could trigger bank runs and below-peg trading
- Regulatory uncertainty with unclear legal protections across jurisdictions
Kommende Katalysatoren
Integration with major DeFi protocols for lending and liquidity
Zeitrahmen: Q1 2025
Increased BTC staking APY due to network mining rewards
Zeitrahmen: Q2 2025
Gate.io expansion of proof-of-reserves verification
Zeitrahmen: Q1-Q2 2025
Preisziele
If Bitcoin corrects to $85K and Gate.io faces liquidity concerns, GTBTC could trade at or below BTC spot price with limited redemption activity due to custodian risk concerns.
Assuming Bitcoin stabilizes around $105K, GTBTC maintains 1:1 peg with modest premium from accumulated 3% staking yields over time as designed.
If Bitcoin rallies to $125-130K range and DeFi adoption increases, GTBTC could trade at slight premium to spot BTC due to yield-bearing properties and DeFi utility.
STRICT-Score
Bewertung: 58/100 | Potenzial: 3.2x
Verwandte im gleichen Sektor - Sonstige
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