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STRICT-Score

78/ 100
Halten
Analysiert am: 25. Dez. 2025
Von: Coira Research

Max. Potenzial

5.1x

Potenzieller Ertrag

Wahrscheinlichkeit

70%

Erfolgschance

Risikoniveau

4/10

Mittleres Risiko

Marktkapitalisierung

$111.17B

Volumen

$1.59B

STRICT-Score Aufschlüsselung

Unser proprietäres Bewertungssystem evaluiert Projekte anhand von 6 Schlüsseldimensionen.

82
S
Langfristige Tragfähigkeit
70
T
Team & Governance
75
R
Protokolleinnahmen
78
I
Technologievorteil
85
C
Benutzeradoption
65
T
Angebotssteuerung
Sustainability • Transparency • Revenue • Innovation • Community • Tokenomics

Analyseübersicht

Analyseübersicht

Ripple is a real-time gross settlement system and currency exchange network enabling fast, cost-effective international payments. XRP is the native asset of the XRP Ledger, facilitating transactions and bridging currencies through RippleNet payment corridor infrastructure. Unlike Bitcoin's store-of-value narrative or Ethereum's smart contract focus, XRP serves rails for institutional payment flows, particularly cross-border remittances and FX transfers. The XRP Ledger operates through a consensus mechanism with over 150 validators securing the network. Following the landmark SEC lawsuit settlement in August 2025 where both parties withdrew appeals, XRP gained significant regulatory clarity. The settlement confirmed XRP's non-security status for retail trading while Ripple agreed to a $50 million penalty and ceased direct institutional XRP sales in the United States. In November 2025, Ripple secured a $500 million investment from major Wall Street firms including Citadel and Fortress Investment Group, valuing the company at $40 billion. The launch of the Canary XRP ETF provided new institutional access, with $245 million in shares purchased on its first trading day.

Investitionsthese

XRP reached a new all-time high of $3.66 in July 2025 following the ProShares Ultra XRP ETF launch, though it has since corrected to around $1.99-$2.09 December 2025. The SEC lawsuit resolution in August 2025 provided unprecedented regulatory clarity, with both parties withdrawing appeals and confirming XRP's non-security status for retail trading. The Canary XRP ETF launched in November 2025 with $245 million in first-day purchases, demonstrating strong institutional demand. With a market cap of approximately $122 billion and ranking fourth-largest cryptocurrency globally, XRP represents a pure institutional payment infrastructure play. More than 100 banks and payment providers including Santander and Bank of America now use RippleNet for cross-border transactions, strengthening XRP's position in the financial sector. The recent $500 million investment from Citadel, Fortress Investment Group, and Pantera Capital at a $40 billion valuation validates Ripple's enterprise strategy. However, centralization concerns persist with Ripple controlling approximately 42% of XRP supply through escrow accounts, while the top 100 holders own over 70% of total supply. Success depends on continued RippleNet adoption and institutional payment corridor expansion rather than retail speculation.

Wettbewerbsposition

XRP holds a unique position payment infrastructure, distinct from smart contract platforms. RippleNet's existing banking relationships provide a moat, though SWIFT's blockchain initiatives pose long-term competitive threat.

Fazit

XRP offers compelling exposure to institutional crypto adoption with regulatory clarity firmly established following the August 2025 SEC settlement. The Canary XRP ETF infrastructure and expanding RippleNet partnerships with over 100 financial institutions create a defensible moat in cross-border payment corridors. The recent $500 million investment at a $40 billion valuation from major Wall Street firms validates Ripple's enterprise-focused strategy. While centralization concerns persist with Ripple controlling 42% of supply and technical limitations around AMM liquidity remain, the risk/reward profile is attractive for investors seeking institutional payment infrastructure exposure beyond pure speculation. Price targets range from $2.05 to $5.81 in 2025 depending on continued institutional adoption and macroeconomic conditions.

Stärken

  • SEC lawsuit settlement providing regulatory clarity and institutional confidence
  • 21Shares XRP ETF enabling traditional finance participation without custody risk
  • RippleNet institutional payment corridor adoption with 150+ validators
  • wXRP bridge to Ethereum and Solana expanding ecosystem access
  • Proven technology with billions in daily settlement volume

Risiken

  • Ripple Labs controls approximately 42% of XRP supply through escrow accounts with top 100 holders owning over 70% of total supply, creating centralization and potential price manipulation concerns
  • Permanent injunction prevents direct institutional XRP sales in the United States, limiting domestic institutional adoption pathways
  • Future legislative changes or stricter crypto regulations could impact XRP operations despite current SEC settlement clarity
  • Competition from USDC stablecoins and emerging central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) offering similar speed and cost advantages without price volatility
  • Technical limitations including XRP Ledger AMM liquidity bottlenecks during high-volume periods could delay institutional adoption

Kommende Katalysatoren

Approval of spot XRP futures contracts on major derivatives platforms

Zeitrahmen: Q1 2025

Hohe Auswirkung

Additional institutional payment corridor deployments via RippleNet

Zeitrahmen: 2025

Mittlere Auswirkung

CBDC integration using XRP currency

Zeitrahmen: 2025-2026

Hohe Auswirkung

Preisziele

Pessimistisches Szenario
$1.20-35%

Regulatory reversal or institutional adoption stalls. Support at pre-ETF levels.

Basisszenario
$3.50+90%

Continued ETF inflows and RippleNet expansion. Gradual institutional adoption.

Optimistisches Szenario
$7.00+280%

Major CBDC partnerships and enterprise payment deployments accelerate adoption.

STRICT-Score

Bewertung: 78/100 | Potenzial: 5.1x

Halten

Haftungsausschluss: Diese Analyse dient nur zu Informationszwecken und sollte nicht als Finanzberatung betrachtet werden. Führen Sie immer Ihre eigene Recherche durch, bevor Sie Anlageentscheidungen treffen. Investitionen in Kryptowährungen sind volatil und mit erheblichen Risiken verbunden.