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Weekly Market Digest - Week 52

Bearish
Free

December 22 - December 28, 2025

Weekly Performance

Market Cap

-5.0%

Volume

-23.4%

BTC Dominance

-0.8%

Sentiment

Bearish

Executive Summary

Week 52 closed out a turbulent year for cryptocurrency markets with a distinctly bearish tone. The largest options expiry in Deribit history, totaling $27 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts, created significant volatility as traders repositioned ahead of 2026. Holiday trading conditions amplified price swings, with thin liquidity contributing to heightened market sensitivity.

Total cryptocurrency market cap contracted approximately 5% week-over-week to $2.96 trillion, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index registering extreme fear at 27. Bitcoin ETFs experienced $175 million in outflows on December 24 alone, while BTC dominance held steady around 59%. Despite the bearish price action, institutional conviction remained evident as Metaplanet secured shareholder approval for an ambitious 210,000 BTC accumulation plan, targeting 1% of total Bitcoin supply by 2027.

Week Highlights

$27 Billion Options Expiry Creates Year-End Volatility

High Impact

The largest options expiry in Deribit history occurred on December 26, with $23.6 billion in Bitcoin options and $3.8 billion in Ethereum options expiring. Call options outnumbered puts by nearly 3-to-1, reflecting underlying bullish positioning despite bearish price action.

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs Face Holiday Outflows

Medium Impact

Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw significant outflows ahead of Christmas, with Bitcoin ETFs posting $175 million in net outflows including $91 million from BlackRock's IBIT. Ethereum ETFs shed an additional $57 million as traders reduced risk exposure.

Metaplanet Approves 210,000 Bitcoin Accumulation Target

Medium Impact

Japanese investment firm Metaplanet received shareholder approval for an aggressive plan to acquire 210,000 Bitcoin by 2027, representing approximately 1% of total Bitcoin supply. The move signals sustained institutional confidence in Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset.

Congress Passes Historic Crypto Legislation

High Impact

2025 marked a watershed moment as Congress passed the first major piece of crypto legislation in U.S. history. The regulatory shift, combined with scaled-back SEC enforcement, signals a more constructive approach to digital asset oversight heading into 2026.

Week Ahead Outlook

As 2025 closes and 2026 begins, markets face a pivotal transition period. Multiple token unlocks totaling hundreds of millions of dollars are scheduled for early January, including SUI and XRP releases on January 1. The BNB Chain Fermi hard fork on January 14 will reduce block times from 750ms to 450ms, potentially boosting DeFi activity. Regulatory implementation becomes a key theme as EU DAC8 tax reporting rules take effect January 1, requiring European exchanges to report crypto transactions to tax authorities. The Basel Committee crypto asset disclosure framework also goes live, mandating formal bank reporting of crypto exposure. These compliance requirements may create short-term friction but ultimately support institutional adoption through improved transparency.

Upcoming Events

Jan 1

SUI Token Unlock (43.69M SUI to Community Reserve)

Increased token supply may create short-term selling pressure. Market reaction depends on community sentiment and absorption capacity.

Jan 1

XRP Monthly Escrow Unlock (1 Billion XRP)

Ripple typically returns 60-80% to escrow, but the unlock increases available supply. Impact depends on re-escrow decisions and market demand.

Jan 1

EU DAC8 and Basel Framework Implementation

Enhanced regulatory compliance may increase operational costs but improves institutional confidence through transparency.

Jan 14

BNB Chain Fermi Hard Fork

Block time reduction from 750ms to 450ms enhances DeFi trading efficiency and user experience on BNB Chain.

Disclaimer: News content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always conduct your own research.