STRICT-Score
Max. Potenzial
6.9x
Potenzieller Ertrag
Wahrscheinlichkeit
40%
Erfolgschance
Risikoniveau
8/10
Hohes Risiko
Marktkapitalisierung
$311.19M
Volumen
$102.15M
STRICT-Score Aufschlüsselung
Unser proprietäres Bewertungssystem evaluiert Projekte anhand von 6 Schlüsseldimensionen.
Analyseübersicht
Analyseübersicht
dogwifhat (WIF) is a Solana-based meme coin featuring a Shiba Inu with a pink knitted hat, launched November 2023. As of December 15, 2025, WIF trades at $0.40 with a market cap of $403M (ranked #105), showing a 4.06% gain in the last 24 hours despite bearish technical indicators. WIF has 998.9M tokens in full circulation with no team allocations. The token reached an all-time high of $4.85 in March 2024 but is currently down 92% from that peak. Trading volume is $125M daily across major exchanges including Binance, Coinbase, and KuCoin. The Fear & Greed Index shows Extreme Fear at 23, reflecting current market uncertainty.
Investitionsthese
WIF represents a high-risk, high-reward meme coin play banking on Solana ecosystem growth and potential 2025 bull market recovery. Despite current Extreme Fear market sentiment, WIF maintains strong community support through the #WIFarmy and has achieved top-10 meme coin status by market cap. The fair launch model with zero VC allocations and 100% circulating supply eliminates future dilution risk, appealing to retail investors. Major exchange listings on Binance, Coinbase, and KuCoin provide $125M daily liquidity. However, WIF lacks fundamental value drivers—no staking, governance, or DeFi integrations exist. Price predictions range from bearish consolidation around $0.26-$0.38 to bullish targets of $0.54-$3.65 by year-end 2025, reflecting extreme uncertainty. One wallet controlling 12% of supply presents concentration risk.
Wettbewerbsposition
WIF ranks #105 overall and sits in the top-10 meme coins by market cap ($403M as of December 2025), but significantly lags behind Solana rival BONK which offers DeFi integrations, BonkSwap, BonkBot utility, and NFT drops across 119 integrations and 10 networks. Multi-chain competitor PEPE provides staking and NFT marketplaces with higher trading volumes. WIF's competitive advantage lies purely in its viral "dog with a pink hat" branding, cultural resonance outside crypto circles, and fair launch appeal with zero VC allocations. However, it lacks any utility infrastructure that competitors have built. As one of the first Solana meme coins (launched November 2023), WIF has proven staying power through 24+ months and a 92% drawdown, suggesting some brand durability. The token differentiates through community strength (#WIFarmy coordination) and cultural weirdness rather than technical features. In late 2025, WIF faces intense pressure: it must either evolve with utility additions or rely on pure memetic value and timing to capture any 2026 bull market retail inflows. Without staking, burns, or DeFi integration, WIF risks being abandoned for newer meme coins or utility-focused alternatives.
Fazit
As of December 15, 2025, dogwifhat trades at $0.40 in Extreme Fear market conditions, down 92% from its $4.85 ATH. WIF remains a high-risk speculative meme coin with viral branding but zero utility—no staking, governance, or DeFi integrations. The bear case sees further decline to $0.26 (-35%), while the bull case projects $3.50 (8.75x) if a 2026 meme supercycle materializes. Fair launch tokenomics and $125M daily liquidity on major exchanges provide infrastructure, but concentration risk (one wallet holds 12% of supply) and 23 bearish technical signals indicate caution. WIF offers lottery-ticket upside for traders who entered early 2024, but new entrants face unfavorable risk/reward. Only suitable for aggressive speculators willing to lose 100% of capital. Limit exposure to 1-2% of total portfolio.
Stärken
- Major exchange listings on Binance, Coinbase, KuCoin with $125M daily trading volume (December 2025) providing deep liquidity for entry and exit
- Fair launch tokenomics: 998.9M fixed supply, 100% circulating, zero team/VC allocations preventing future dilution or coordinated dumps
- Strong community presence through #WIFarmy across Twitter, Telegram, Reddit with viral meme campaigns and cultural resonance beyond typical crypto circles
- Built on Solana blockchain providing fast transactions (<400ms), low fees (<$0.01), and processing thousands of TPS ideal for high-frequency meme trading
- Market cap of $403M ranks WIF at #105 overall and in top-10 meme coins, showing staying power 24+ months post-launch despite 92% drawdown from ATH
Risiken
- Down 92% from $4.85 ATH (March 2024) with current Fear & Greed Index at Extreme Fear (23), indicating potential further downside before bottom is reached
- Zero intrinsic utility: No staking, governance, DeFi integrations, or revenue generation—purely speculative with no way to earn passive income or token burns
- Concentration risk: One wallet holds 12.06% of total supply (120.4M WIF tokens as of May 2025), creating potential for large single-holder manipulation or dumps
- Extreme volatility with rapid 10-20% daily swings driven purely by social media sentiment, hype cycles, and meme trends rather than fundamental developments
- Bearish technical indicators: 23 bearish signals vs 2 bullish signals (December 2025) with RSI neutral and MACD only recently turning positive
- Competition from newer Solana meme coins and established rivals (BONK, PEPE) with better utility, staking features, and ecosystem integrations
Kommende Katalysatoren
Solana ecosystem growth and DeFi integrations
Zeitrahmen: Q1-Q2 2025
Broader crypto bull market and meme coin supercycle
Zeitrahmen: H1 2025
New exchange listings and liquidity partnerships
Zeitrahmen: Q1 2025
Preisziele
Extended crypto bear market continuation with meme coin sector collapse and Extreme Fear persisting into Q1 2026. WIF falls another 35% from December 2025 levels ($0.40) as hype fades and bearish technical indicators (23 bearish vs 2 bullish signals) play out. December 2025 predictions suggest testing $0.26 support levels. Solana network issues, regulatory crackdown on meme coins, or large holder dump from 12% concentrated wallet accelerates decline.
Moderate crypto market recovery with selective meme coin interest in H1 2026. WIF achieves 3x gain from December 2025 price ($0.40) as broader market sentiment improves from Extreme Fear. Analysts project $1.25-$2.41 average for 2025-2026 trading range. Base case assumes WIF captures renewed retail attention through #WIFarmy community campaigns and Solana ecosystem growth, but faces resistance at $1.50 without utility additions. MACD positive momentum and neutral RSI support gradual recovery.
Full 2026 meme coin supercycle with sustained retail FOMO, Solana ecosystem boom, and potential utility integrations. WIF achieves 8.75x from current price, approaching 2024 peak of $4.85. Analysts project $3.50-$6.00 range if bullish market structures materialize and WIF adds staking or DeFi features. Requires breaking above $0.54-$0.58 resistance first (35% upside target), then sustained momentum through Q1-Q2 2026. Represents optimistic scenario where WIF\
STRICT-Score
Bewertung: 42/100 | Potenzial: 6.9x
Verwandte im gleichen Sektor - Meme
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Haftungsausschluss: Diese Analyse dient nur zu Informationszwecken und sollte nicht als Finanzberatung betrachtet werden. Führen Sie immer Ihre eigene Recherche durch, bevor Sie Anlageentscheidungen treffen. Investitionen in Kryptowährungen sind volatil und mit erheblichen Risiken verbunden.